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In a Facebook poll of 11,918 respondents, 32.1% chose “احمد شفيق”. How we count

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From day one, احمد شفيق never lost the lead. He opened at a dominant 83% share, cooled fast as rivals entered, then settled into a long, remarkably stable plateau near 31-33% that held for the rest of the poll's life. No other candidate ever came close to the top spot — over 419 days and 11,918 votes, the standings never flipped once.

The real split hides beneath the surface: men out-voted women roughly 2-to-1 across nearly every option, tightest for شفيق himself, widest for turnout-driver options like -------. Geographically the race was Egypt's own — 1,729 votes from home soil plus a surprising 315 from the United States, both leaning شفيق, while Saudi Arabia was the lone major bloc breaking against him.

  • Zero Lead Changes · One option led all 419 days — no turning point ever came.
  • Early Landslide Fades · شفيق opened at 83% share, cooled to ~32% by the end.
  • Gender Gap · Men outvoted women nearly 2-to-1 across almost every candidate.
  • US Vote Surprise · 315 votes from the United States, the second-largest country bloc.