من رئيس مصر القادم ؟
In a Facebook poll of 3,015 respondents, 29.8% chose “أحمد شفيق”. How we count
أحمد شفيق
29.8%899
حازم صلاح أبو أسماعيل
29.6%891
محمد سليم العوا
17.2%520
محمد البرادعى
9.1%274
شخص أخر
7.6%230
عمرو موسى
3.3%101
عمر سليمان
3.3%100
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حازم صلاح أبو أسماعيل grabbed the lead on day 2 and held it almost the entire race — still up 30 points at the halfway mark, still up past day 160. Then, with just 16 days left, أحمد شفيق snatched it away, lost it back a day later, and grabbed it for good on day 164. From there he never gave it up again.
The final tally: 899 votes to 891 — an 8-vote margin, 0.2 points, out of over 3,000 cast. Neither man cracked a third of the field; five other names split the rest, so the winner governs a plurality, not a mandate. The two frontrunners also drew starkly different crowds: أبو أسماعيل's support ran 82% male, شفيق's closer to two-thirds.
- 158-day lead · أبو أسماعيل led from day 2 almost until day 161.
- The late flip · Lead changed hands three times in the final 16 days alone.
- 8-vote margin · Winner beat runner-up by just 8 votes out of 3,015.
- Gender split · أبو أسماعيل's base ran 82% male versus شفيق's 68%.