كيف ترى حظوظ الأهلى أمام الترجى فى نصف نهائى أبطال أفريقيا ؟

The lead changed hands three times before day 15 — the referee-decides camp led first, الأهلى grabbed it, الترجي briefly took it back, then الأهلى surged again, its margin jumping from a slim 50% edge to 54% almost overnight. That jump was the whole plot: from day 15 to day 82, the standings never moved past a single point, a two-month stretch with nothing left to decide.

Geography split the room: Tunisia, الترجي's own turf, backed them almost alone, while Egypt and even US-based voters sided with الأهلى. Every camp skewed heavily male, but الترجي's was extreme — 163 men to just 7 women. Final count: الأهلى الأقرب للتأهل 52.6% (1,498), الترجي فرصته أكبر 24% (682), الحكم بعد لقاء الذهاب 23.4% (666).

• Early chaos · Lead flipped three times in the first two weeks alone
• Day 15 lock-in · الأهلى's margin jumped from 50% to 54% overnight
• 67-day stasis · Standings never budged again from day 15 to day 82
• Tunisia vs. Egypt · Tunisia backed الترجي; Egypt and the US backed الأهلى