لمن ستصوت في إنتخابات أكتوبر التشريعية؟

Over 30 days and 8,748 votes, النهضة never trailed. It opened around 35% and settled at 34.2% (2,995 votes), with نداء تونس locked in second the entire time, closing at 27% (2,363). No lead change, no late surge — just a steady, unbroken gap of roughly 7 points from day 1 to day 30.

The real story is who showed up. Men outvoted women by more than 3-to-1 across nearly every party, and Tunisia itself split geographically: expat hubs like France, the US, Canada, and the Gulf leaned النهضة, while Germany and the UK broke for نداء تونس — a rare country-vs-country divide inside one diaspora.

• Wire-to-wire lead · النهضة topped the standings on all 30 days, no turning point.
• Gender skew · النهضة voters ran 2,304 men to 611 women, nearly 4-to-1.
• Diaspora split · Germany and UK leaned نداء تونس while France, US, Canada leaned النهضة.
• Protest vote · 502 voters chose لن أصوت — outpolling five established parties.