If the 2015 Nigerian presidential election were held today, with President Jonathan as the PDP candidate and Muhammadu Buhari as the APC candidate, who do you think would win? Why?

Buhari never trailed. He opened day one at 82% and cruised to a final 79.3%-20.7% landslide, turning what could have been a nail-biter into a rout — over 12,000 votes to just 3,189 for Jonathan across the poll's two-day run.

The lopsided split cut across borders: Nigeria itself, plus the UK, US, South Africa and eight more countries, all leaned Buhari — only Ireland's tiny sample broke for Jonathan. Fandom told the same story: zero Jonathan voters were page fans, versus 8 for Buhari, in an overwhelmingly non-fan, male-dominated electorate.

• Day-one blowout · Buhari led 82% to Jonathan's 18% right out of the gate
• No turning point · Buhari led wire-to-wire across both days, never challenged
• Global consensus · 9 of 10 top countries leaned Buhari; only Ireland favored Jonathan
• Fan gap · Jonathan drew zero fan votes versus Buhari's 8