In caso di elezioni, chi sarà il candidato premier dei possibili schieramenti?

Salvini opened strong, topping day one with 32% as Italy's centrodestra crowd rushed in early. But the race flipped fast: by day 2, Renzi's centrosinistra bloc surged past him and never looked back, locking in a steady 30% share that held unchanged for the next 26 straight days.

The real fight was for second, not first — Salvini (19.4%) and M5S's Conte (17.7%) stayed locked within two points of each other through the finish. Centrosinistra's depth sealed it: five of its candidates, including Gentiloni and Zingaretti, cracked the top tier, drowning out the other two blocs' single-name campaigns.

• Day 2 flip · Salvini's early lead evaporated as Renzi overtook him and held for 26 days
• Instant stability · Renzi's 30% margin froze solid from day 8 straight through day 28
• Bloc depth wins · Centrosinistra ran 6 candidates vs rivals' fewer, out-numbering the field
• US bucks the trend · United States leaned Salvini while Italy and Europe backed Renzi